Forecasts – FiveThirtyEight

Bryce Harper of the Philadelphia Phillies looks on during the eighth inning against the Texas Rangers

Apr. 5, 2023

Your MLB Team Just Started Hot (Or Cold). How Much Does That Matter?

Filed under MLB

Politics Podcast

Feb. 6, 2023

Politics Podcast: How Our 2022 Forecasts Actually Did

538-2022-MODEL-TALK-4×3

Nov. 9, 2022

The Pollsters Seem To Have Had A Good Night

By Galen Druke and Nate Silver

Filed under 2022 Election

ELEX-2022-FINALUPDATES-SENATE-4×3

Nov. 8, 2022

Final Forecast: The Senate And Most Of Its Key Races Are Toss-Ups

By Geoffrey Skelley

Filed under 2022 Election

538-2022-MODEL-TALK-4×3

Nov. 7, 2022

Republicans Are Favored In Our Final Midterm Forecasts

By Nate Silver and Galen Druke

Filed under 2022 Election

2022-ELECTIONUPDATE-1014-4×3

Oct. 14, 2022

Betting Markets Are Treating The Midterm Elections Like It’s A Presidential Election

Filed under 2022 Election

NBA-prediction-2022-time_4x3

Oct. 14, 2022

How We’re Improving Our NBA Forecast For 2022-23

By Holly Fuong and Neil Paine

Filed under NBA

Politics Podcast

Aug. 17, 2022

Politics Podcast: Early Returns In The Alaska Primary Were Bad For Trump

Politics Podcast

Aug. 15, 2022

Politics Podcast: Why Have Democrats’ Odds Of Winning The Senate Improved?

Politics Podcast

Apr. 22, 2020

Politics Podcast: How One Modeler Is Trying To Forecast The Toll Of COVID-19

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