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Republicans Are Favored In Our Final Midterm Forecasts

Hours before we freeze the FiveThirtyEight midterm forecast tonight, it shows that Republicans are in a dead heat for the Senate and are favored to win the House. In this installment of “Model Talk” for the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver and Galen Druke reflect on the many twists and turns of the 2022 campaign so far, including the most salient policy issues and what the final results could tell us about pollsters’ performance this cycle. Lastly, they answer listener questions and talk about which states they’ll be watching closely on election night.

Nate Silver is the founder and editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight.

Galen Druke is FiveThirtyEight’s podcast producer and reporter.