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Exit Polls Came Up Short This Year. Here’s Why.

Since the 2020 election, you may have seen headlines make bold claims about how certain demographic groups voted. As quantitative editor Laura Bronner explains, it’s always difficult to figure out trends in voter preferences — and a pandemic has only made it harder.

[Related: Why Polling Has Gotten So Hard]


How to make polls better | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast

Laura Bronner is a senior applied scientist at ETH Zürich and FiveThirtyEight’s former quantitative editor.

Michael Tabb is a video and motion graphics producer at FiveThirtyEight.

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