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What’s Behind FiveThirtyEight’s 2022 Election Forecast (As Told By Nate Silver)

The FiveThirtyEight 2022 midterm forecast is live, and it shows that Republicans are strong favorites to win the House while the Senate is a toss-up between the two parties. In the first “Model Talk” episode of the 2022 midterm cycle, Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the factors behind that forecast.

Nate Silver is the founder and editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight.

Galen Druke is FiveThirtyEight’s podcast producer and reporter.