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Is One Voter Bloc Really Going To Decide The Midterms?

In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses why Sarah Palin may not be a shoo-in for Alaska’s vacant House seat. They also debate whether the AARP is correct in assessing that women voters over the age of 50 are likely to decide the outcome of the 2022 midterms. And they discuss the experiences of urban Republicans and rural Democrats in a country increasingly sorted geographically and politically.

Galen Druke is FiveThirtyEight’s podcast producer and reporter.

Sarah Frostenson is FiveThirtyEight’s politics editor.

Alex Samuels is a politics reporter at FiveThirtyEight.

Geoffrey Skelley is an elections analyst at FiveThirtyEight.