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Confidence Interval: Will Marijuana Be Legal Everywhere In The U.S. By 2024?

It’s another episode of Confidence Interval, where we make a persuasive case for a hot take we’ve been hearing … and then reveal how confident we really feel about the idea. Here, senior writer Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux makes the case that marijuana won’t be federally legalized in the next four years, even though Democrats have control of Congress and the White House.

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Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux is a senior writer for FiveThirtyEight.

Michael Tabb is a video and motion graphics producer at FiveThirtyEight.