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Confidence Interval: Republicans Will Win Back Congress In 2022

It’s another episode of Confidence Interval, where we make a persuasive case for a hot take we’ve been hearing … and then reveal how confident we really feel about the idea. This time, elections analyst Nathaniel Rakich argues that Democrats will lose their majorities in the House and Senate in the 2022 midterm elections.

[Related: What All Those GOP Retirements Mean For The 2022 Senate Map]


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Nathaniel Rakich is a senior editor and senior elections analyst at FiveThirtyEight.

Michael Tabb is a former video and motion graphics producer at FiveThirtyEight.

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