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Confidence Interval: If Trump Loses In 2020, He’ll Be The Nominee Again In 2024

Welcome to another episode of Confidence Interval, where we make a persuasive case for a hot take … and then reveal how confident we really feel about the idea. Here, elections analyst Nathaniel Rakich argues that if President Trump loses the election in 2020, he’ll be the GOP’s nominee again in 2024.

Nathaniel Rakich is an elections analyst at FiveThirtyEight.

Tony Chow is a video producer for FiveThirtyEight.

Sakshi Jain is an animator at FiveThirtyEight.