Skip to main content

FiveThirtyEight FiveThirtyEight

ABC News
  • Politics
  • Sports
  • Science
  • Podcasts
  • Video
  • Interactives
  • ABC News
This is an archived site and is no longer being updated. New 538 articles can be found at www.abcnews.com/538.

All posts tagged“Betting Markets”

DATA-FOR-PROGRESS-4×3

Feb. 23, 2023

How The Cool Kid Of Progressive Politics Gambled It All Away

By Kaleigh Rogers

Filed under Polling

A person gambles as betting odds for NFL football's Super Bowl are displayed on monitors

Feb. 9, 2023

This Obscure Super Bowl Prop Bet Will Baffle You

By Josh Hermsmeyer

Filed under Super Bowl LVII

Donald Trump Holds Campaign Rally In Tulsa

Jul. 28, 2020

Voters Are Starting To Doubt Trump’s Reelection Chances

By Geoffrey Skelley

Filed under 2020 Election

Marco Rubio

Feb. 3, 2016

Why Iowa Changed Rubio’s And Trump’s Nomination Odds So Much

By Nate Silver

Filed under 2016 Election

Mar. 11, 2013

Even Without Intrade, Billions Will Be Bet on 2016 Race

By Nate Silver

Mar. 4, 2013

What Betting Markets Are Saying About the Next Pope

By Micah Cohen

Filed under Archive

Oct. 24, 2012

Oct. 23: The Virtues and Vices of Election Prediction Markets

By Nate Silver

Interactives

Top Politics Stories Today

August 4, 2023 6:00 AM

If RFK Jr. Wants To Be President, He’s Running In The Wrong Primary

FiveThirtyEight
June 29, 2023 6:00 AM

Nonreligious Americans Are The New Abortion Voters

FiveThirtyEight
July 13, 2023 6:00 AM

Why A Third-Party Candidate Might Help Trump — And Spoil The Election For Biden

FiveThirtyEight

Latest Videos

  • Why Biden Is Losing Support Among Voters Of Color

    230911_538_PoliticsPod_4x3

  • Should We Trust Polls Campaigns Leak To The Press?

    230906_538_PoliticsPod_4x3

  • How Well Can You Tell The 2024 GOP Candidates Apart?

    230818_538_WhoSaidThis_4x3

  • What The GOP Primary Looks Like In The Early States

    230818_538_PoliticsPod_4x3
Get more FiveThirtyEight
  • Store
  • Newsletter
  • Twitter
  • Facebook
  • Data
  • RSS
  • Follow @FiveThirtyEight
  • About Us
  • Jobs
  • Masthead
  • Pitch FiveThirtyEight
  • Advertise With Us
  • About Nielsen Measurement
Powered by WordPress VIP
  • Terms of Use
  • Privacy Policy
  • Do Not Sell My Personal Information
  • Your US State Privacy Rights
  • Children's Online Privacy Policy
  • Interest-Based Ads

© 2023 ABC News Internet Ventures. All rights reserved.

Terms of Use and Privacy Policy and Safety Information/Your California Privacy Rights/Children's Online Privacy Policy are applicable to you. © 2023 ABC News Internet Ventures. All rights reserved. Interest-Based Ads. Cookie Policy.