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The Elections Podcast Checks In On The 2016 Forecasts

We talk about our elections forecasts endlessly, so why not do so in podcast form? Every other Friday in the regular elections podcast feed, editor-in-chief Nate Silver and politics editor Micah Cohen will sit down to talk about how the forecast model’s predictions have changed and why. It’ll get wonky. This week, they looked at the gaps between state and national polls and between online and live-interview polls. In each installment we’ll cover these basics:

  • What are the latest odds?
  • What has shifted and why?
  • Listener questions
  • What story are we watching? Which news is going to affect the polls?

This week we also announce the first of our fall live shows, slated for September 19th in New York City.

You can listen to the episode by clicking the “play” button above or by downloading it in Apple Podcasts, the ESPN App or your favorite podcast platform. If you are new to podcasts, learn how to listen.

The FiveThirtyEight Elections podcast publishes Monday evenings, with occasional special episodes throughout the week. Help new listeners discover the show by leaving us a rating and review on Apple Podcasts. Have a comment, question or suggestion for “good polling vs. bad polling”? Get in touch by email, on Twitter or in the comments.

Micah Cohen is the politics editor.

Nate Silver is the founder and editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight.