Skip to main content

FiveThirtyEight FiveThirtyEight

ABC News
  • Politics
  • Sports
  • Science
  • Podcasts
  • Video
  • Interactives
  • ABC News
This is an archived site and is no longer being updated. New 538 articles can be found at www.abcnews.com/538.

All posts tagged“Iowa Caucus”

Jan. 20, 2016

Is The Bernie Sanders Surge Real?

A FiveThirtyEight Chat

Filed under 2016 Election

Jan. 19, 2016

Beware A GOP Calendar Front-Loaded With States Friendly To Trump And Cruz

By David Wasserman

Filed under 2016 Election

Jan. 13, 2016

The Glass-Half-Empty Case Against Ted Cruz

By Nate Silver

Filed under 2016 Election

Jan. 12, 2016

2016 Primary Forecast

By Nate Silver

Filed under 2016 Election

Jan. 11, 2016

The FiveThirtyEight Team Goes To Iowa

By FiveThirtyEight

Filed under 2016 Election

Jan. 8, 2016

Three Theories Of Donald Trump’s Rise

By Nate Silver

Filed under 2016 Election

Jan. 6, 2016

Ted Cruz Is Placing The Biggest Bet On The South

By Clare Malone

Filed under 2016 Election

Jan. 6, 2016

Is The GOP Establishment Blowing Its Anti-Trump Campaign?

A FiveThirtyEight Chat

Filed under 2016 Election

Jan. 5, 2016

One Reason Hillary Clinton Might Underperform In The Early States

By Harry Enten

Filed under 2016 Election

Jan. 4, 2016

To Win In Iowa Or New Hampshire, It May Be Better To Poll Worse Nationally

By Harry Enten

Filed under 2016 Election

< Previous Next >

Interactives

Latest Videos

  • Why Biden Is Losing Support Among Voters Of Color

  • Should We Trust Polls Campaigns Leak To The Press?

  • How Well Can You Tell The 2024 GOP Candidates Apart?

  • What The GOP Primary Looks Like In The Early States

Get more FiveThirtyEight
  • Store
  • Twitter
  • Facebook
  • Data
  • RSS
  • Follow @FiveThirtyEight
  • About Us
  • Jobs
  • Masthead
  • Pitch FiveThirtyEight
  • Advertise With Us
  • About Nielsen Measurement
Powered by WordPress VIP
  • Terms of Use
  • Privacy Policy
  • Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information
  • Your US State Privacy Rights
  • Children's Online Privacy Policy
  • Interest-Based Ads

© 2026 ABC News Internet Ventures. All rights reserved.

Terms of Use and Privacy Policy and Safety Information/Your California Privacy Rights/Children's Online Privacy Policy are applicable to you. © 2026 ABC News Internet Ventures. All rights reserved. Interest-Based Ads. Cookie Policy.