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Who’s In DACA — And Who Isn’t

With the final renewal deadline for the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals program arriving today, the phaseout of the program begins for the 689,800 undocumented immigrants who are currently enrolled. Data released by the Department of Homeland Security last week paints the clearest picture yet of the people the program now benefits. And combined with information from other sources, it also offers a look at those who were likely eligible but never enrolled.

The Trump administration stopped accepting new applications when it announced Sept. 5 that it would end DACA, which gives participants a work permit and a shield from deportation. But some of the people already in the program whose status would soon expire were given one month to renew their paperwork. On Tuesday, two days before the filing deadline, just half of those who were eligible to renew but hadn’t already done so when it was announced that the program would close still hadn’t filed their paperwork.

The low enrollment raises questions about whether the tight deadline left enough time for people to submit paperwork. DACA advocates worry that at least some of those people are among the approximately 47,200 active participants who live in the Houston and Miami metro areas, according to DHS data — places recently hit hard by storms and hurricanes. (On Tuesday, administration officials said late filings would be accepted on a case-by-case basis from those in hurricane-ravaged Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands.)

DACA protections generally last for two years. With no option to renew, those currently enrolled in the program will see the protections expire over time. Roughly a quarter of total participants have permits set to expire by March 2018; that’s the group that has been allowed to file for renewal. Among the rest, approximately 30 percent have permits that will expire later in 2018. Another 60 percent will expire in 2019.1

DACA, which began under an executive action issued by then-President Obama, was never open-ended. It applied only to a narrow group of undocumented people who have lived in the U.S. since June 2007, were under age 16 when they arrived and were under 31 in 2012. Between those and other requirements, an estimated 1.9 million people might have been eligible for the program over time if it had continued (additional people would have aged into the program as well, and some would have qualified by meeting education requirements), according to research from the Migration Policy Institute, a think tank that supports liberal immigration policies. But among that 1.9 million were nearly 400,000 people who didn’t meet the education requirements. And 228,000 more weren’t yet old enough to apply. By ending the program early, tens of thousands of teenagers and young adults who might have become eligible were never able to apply.

Still, there are hundreds of thousands of people who are currently eligible but never took advantage of the now-shuttered program, and the application rates vary dramatically by country of origin. While more than 65 percent of people born in Mexico who were eligible for the program in 2016 currently have DACA protections, just 3 percent of those from China do. Generally, application rates overall have been much higher among people from Latin America than those from countries in Asia, though there are some exceptions.

DACA application rates are higher among Latin Americans

Estimated number of undocumented people eligible for DACA, 2016

ORIGIN COUNTRY EST. ELIGIBLE IN 2016 HAVE DACA SHARE
Mexico 822k 548k 67%
El Salvador 41 26 64
Uruguay 3 2 61
Bolivia 3 2 59
Honduras 28 16 58
Brazil 11 6 53
Peru 15 7 51
Ecuador 12 5 44
Jamaica 8 3 33
Guatemala 55 18 32
Venezuela 8 2 30
Dominican Republic 9 2 27
Colombia 19 5 26
Philippines 18 4 22
India 15 3 17
Korea 49 7 15
China 25 1 3
Vietnam 9 <0.1 1

Values are rounded.

Sources: Migration Policy Institute, Department of Homeland Security

There are probably many reasons for that variation, said Michelle Mittelstadt, the director of communications at the Migration Policy Institute. The strong presence of Spanish-language media and the immigrant provider networks that grew up around some groups in the U.S. may have increased enrollment in some communities. But MPI’s research also suggests that high rates of deportation among Mexican and Central American communities may have created more urgency to enroll in the program.

Footnotes

  1. These numbers assume all people eligible for renewal get their applications in by the deadline.

Anna Maria Barry-Jester reports on public health, food and culture for FiveThirtyEight.

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