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Today’s Polls, 5/1

I’m running behind today and so the analysis will have to wait until later, but Quinnipiac has polling out in three major swing states, which shows very favorable results for Hillary Clinton. She leads John McCain by 14 points in Pennsylvania, 10 points in Ohio, and 8 points in Florida. Obama, meanwhile, leads McCain by 9 in Pennsylvania, but trails McCain by 1 point in the other two states. The very brief takeaway is that these polls are actually good news for both Democrats — for Clinton more so than for Obama, obviously — but Obama is at his highest win percentage in weeks, while Clinton’s is at her highest since our tracking began.

And in New Hampshire, Rasmussen shows Clinton trailing McCain by 3 points and Obama trailing him by 10. These represent a big drop for Obama from Rasmussen’s previous polling of New Hampshire, and McCain is now the solid favorite in the state against both Democrats.

Nate Silver founded and was the editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight.