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The Conversation About ‘Skewed’ Polls Is Back

Hillary Clinton’s rise in the polls has brought back accusations, similar to those made by Mitt Romney supporters in 2012, that the polls are skewed against the Republican nominee, Donald Trump. The podcast crew breaks down why that’s unlikely and explains what information pollsters use to weight their polls and construct their samples. FiveThirtyEight contributor Julia Azari also joins the podcast to talk about why a third-party candidacy is not taking off, even though some of the conditions seem right.

You can listen to the episode by clicking the “play” button above or by downloading it in Apple Podcasts, the ESPN App or your favorite podcast platform. If you are new to podcasts, learn how to listen.

The FiveThirtyEight Elections podcast publishes Monday evenings, with occasional special episodes throughout the week. Help new listeners discover the show by leaving us a rating and review on Apple Podcasts. Have a comment, question or suggestion for “good polling vs. bad polling”? Get in touch by email, on Twitter or in the comments.

Jody Avirgan hosts and produces podcasts for FiveThirtyEight.

Clare Malone is a former senior political writer for FiveThirtyEight.

Harry Enten was a senior political writer and analyst for FiveThirtyEight.

Julia Azari is an associate professor of political science at Marquette University. Her research interests include the American presidency, political parties and political rhetoric. She is the author of “Delivering the People’s Message: The Changing Politics of the Presidential Mandate.”