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Taking Louisiana By Storm?

The state that once elected a man to governor who ran on the slogan “Vote for the Lizard, not the Wizard”, selecting the unapologetically corrupt Edwin Edwards to a fourth term over former Klansman David Duke, may have another gem of a choice on its hands. Adult entertainer Porn star Stormy Daniels, a Baton Rouge native, is seriously considering a run against incumbent Republican and very bad boy David Vitter.

Does Stormy have a chance? She’s certainly not without her, um, charms, apparently hoping to point out Vitter’s hypocrisy while campaigning on a platform of female empowerment in the business world. In any other state, we’d say no, but in Louisiana, her candidacy is worth keeping an eye on.

At this point, however, it’s not even clear what party Daniels would run from. Her best chance to defeat Vitter — although probably not to win the seat for herself — would be to turn the Republican primary into a circus and play the role of spoiler, perhaps peeling off voters from Vitter while a “serious” conservative candidate might swoop in to Vitter’s right. That could improve the chances for a moderate Democrat like Charlie Melancon to prevail in the general election.

Nate Silver founded and was the editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight.