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Significant Digits For Tuesday, April 19, 2016

Welcome to Significant Digits, a daily digest of the telling numbers tucked inside the news.

30 percent

The Islamic State’s monthly revenue is down almost 30 percent compared to a year ago, mostly due to U.S.-led air strikes on its petroleum-generating resources and lost territory. For some perspective: Blockbuster’s annual revenue dropped by 21 percent from FY 2009 to 2010, and look how many Blockbuster stores we have now. [Bloomberg]

54 percent

Based on FiveThirtyEight’s polls-plus forecast, that’s Donald Trump’s average projected share of the vote in the New York primary today. He’s a greater than 99-percent favorite to win. On the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton is also a 99-percent favorite; she averages 56 percent of the vote in our projections. Check out Harry Enten’s district-by-district guide to the GOP primary in New York. Also check back here tonight for our live blog following the results. Myself, I’ll be appearing on ABC News’ live stream starting at 6 p.m. — so if you want to hear FiveThirtyEight’s election coverage in my voice, tune in. [FiveThirtyEight]

80 unlocks

Average number of times per day a user unlocks their iPhone, according to Apple. [The Verge]

5,100 acceptances

It’s that time of year again, when some college or university sends out a galling number of accidental acceptance letters. This year’s colossal screwup comes to us from the The State University of New York at Buffalo, which sent emails accepting 5,100 applicants who did not, in fact, get in. [NBC News]

2.23 million

Number of new U.S. subscribers to Netflix in the first quarter, which beat analysts’ expectations. Still, the stock was down after news that Netflix’s projection for second-quarter subscriber growth was below that of analysts. [Bloomberg]

$2.9 trillion

Value of assets overseen by hedge fund managers, six times as much as was under their control in 2000. Regulators are eyeing borrowing in the industry, believing it poses risks to the economy as a whole. [The Wall Street Journal]

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Walt Hickey was FiveThirtyEight’s chief culture writer.