The FiveThirtyEight 2022 midterm forecast is live! Republicans are strong favorites to win back the House, while control of the Senate is a toss-up. This episode of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast is the first edition of “Model Talk” in this year’s midterm cycle. Editor-in-chief Nate Silver talks to Galen Druke about some of the factors behind the forecast; the possible outcomes in battleground states like Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Arizona and Georgia; and what could change between now and Election Day.
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