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Politics Podcast: Why The 2022 Forecast Suggests The Senate Is A Toss-Up

The FiveThirtyEight 2022 midterm forecast is live! Republicans are strong favorites to win back the House, while control of the Senate is a toss-up. This episode of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast is the first edition of “Model Talk” in this year’s midterm cycle. Editor-in-chief Nate Silver talks to Galen Druke about some of the factors behind the forecast; the possible outcomes in battleground states like Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Arizona and Georgia; and what could change between now and Election Day.

You can listen to the episode by clicking the “play” button in the audio player above or by downloading it in iTunes, the ESPN App or your favorite podcast platform. If you are new to podcasts, learn how to listen.

The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast is recorded Mondays and Thursdays. Help new listeners discover the show by leaving us a rating and review on iTunes. Have a comment, question or suggestion for “good polling vs. bad polling”? Get in touch by email, on Twitter or in the comments.

Galen Druke is FiveThirtyEight’s podcast producer and reporter.

Nate Silver founded and was the editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight.