According to the FiveThirtyEight midterm forecast, Republicans have a 69 percent chance of winning back the House, while Democrats have a 68 percent chance of keeping control of the Senate, although there has been some movement behind those topline numbers.
In this installment of “Model Talk” on the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss how polling could change before the midterms, including the shift from registered voters to likely voters, and whether the generic ballot could continue favoring Democrats. They also answer some listener questions, including what’s going on in the Alaska Senate election and how much candidate quality actually matters.
You can listen to the episode by clicking the “play” button in the audio player above or by downloading it in iTunes, the ESPN App or your favorite podcast platform. If you are new to podcasts, learn how to listen.
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