Skip to main content
ABC News
Politics Podcast: No, The Model Doesn’t Care About The Early Vote

Early voting has begun! In this installment of Model Talk on the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver explains why he doesn’t use early voting data to help forecast elections: Polls are more reliable, given that we don’t know all of the factors involved in early voting. Nate also answers questions from listeners, including which House race he would most like to know the results of if he could only know one before Election Day.

You can listen to the episode by clicking the “play” button in the audio player above or by downloading it in iTunes, the ESPN App or your favorite podcast platform. If you are new to podcasts, learn how to listen.

The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast publishes Monday evenings, with occasional special episodes throughout the week. Help new listeners discover the show by leaving us a rating and review on iTunes. Have a comment, question or suggestion for “good polling vs. bad polling”? Get in touch by email, on Twitter or in the comments.

Nate Silver is the founder and editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight.

Galen Druke is FiveThirtyEight’s podcast producer and reporter.