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Politics Podcast: Don’t Obsess Over The Polling Crosstabs!

With less than three weeks until Election Day, Republicans have noticeably gained ground in the FiveThirtyEight forecast. In this installment of “Model Talk,” Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the reasons for Republicans’ improvement. They also explain why a dramatic shift among independent women in a recent New York Times poll shouldn’t be taken at face value — but also shouldn’t undercut the poll. Finally, they answer listener questions about early voting and Fivey Fox’s statistical philosophy.

You can listen to the episode by clicking the “play” button in the audio player above or by downloading it in iTunes, the ESPN App or your favorite podcast platform. If you are new to podcasts, learn how to listen.

The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast is recorded Mondays and Thursdays. Help new listeners discover the show by leaving us a rating and review on iTunes. Have a comment, question or suggestion for “good polling vs. bad polling”? Get in touch by email, on Twitter or in the comments.

Galen Druke is FiveThirtyEight’s podcast producer and reporter.

Nate Silver founded and was the editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight.