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Politics Podcast: About Those 2024 Polls …

Pollsters are already turning their attention to the 2024 election, and they want to know whether Americans want a rematch between President Biden and former President Donald Trump. Polls show that solid majorities of U.S. adults — in the range of about 60 to 70 percent — don’t want either to run next time. But, of course, presidential nominations are party affairs, and Republicans and Democrats will have to decide that for themselves.

In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew debates whether 2024 primary polling can tell us anything this far out from any primary race. And they review the results of our informal, unscientific poll asking readers when they think each season begins.

You can listen to the episode by clicking the “play” button in the audio player above or by downloading it in iTunes, the ESPN App or your favorite podcast platform. If you are new to podcasts, learn how to listen.

The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast is recorded Mondays and Thursdays. Help new listeners discover the show by leaving us a rating and review on iTunes. Have a comment, question or suggestion for “good polling vs. bad polling”? Get in touch by email, on Twitter or in the comments.

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Galen Druke is FiveThirtyEight’s podcast producer and reporter.

Micah Cohen is FiveThirtyEight’s former managing editor.

Sarah Frostenson is FiveThirtyEight’s former politics editor.

Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux is a senior editor and senior reporter for FiveThirtyEight.