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Politics Podcast: 99 Trial Balloons

The Trump administration has made a habit of floating new policies in the press only to back away from them within days or even hours. Administration officials said President Trump would sign an executive order withdrawing the U.S. from NAFTA, and then Trump said that wouldn’t happen anytime soon. The White House suggested that it would tie Obamacare funding to funding for a border wall. That didn’t happen either. The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast debates how to cover the president’s statements given this unpredictability.

Also, FiveThirtyEight’s Ben Casselman joins the podcast to make sense of Trump’s one-page tax plan and the meager GDP growth estimates from the first quarter of 2017. Lastly, a new report suggests that automatic voter registration in Oregon was more effective at increasing youth turnout than expected.

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The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast publishes Monday evenings, with occasional special episodes throughout the week. Help new listeners discover the show by leaving us a rating and review on iTunes. Have a comment, question or suggestion for “good polling vs. bad polling”? Get in touch by email, on Twitter or in the comments.

Jody Avirgan hosts and produces podcasts for FiveThirtyEight.

Nate Silver founded and was the editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight.

Clare Malone is a former senior political writer for FiveThirtyEight.

Harry Enten was a senior political writer and analyst for FiveThirtyEight.