Skip to main content
ABC News
Listen To Our Totally Subjective 2016 Presidential Odds For Early February 2015

And now, yet another round of FiveThirtyEight’s “totally subjective odds” podcast — when the site’s analysts riff on the little data that we have and attempt to handicap the 2016 presidential nomination from each party.

Micah Cohen, DataLab editor, talks with Nate Silver, editor in chief; Harry Enten, senior political writer; and this week’s voice from outside the politically obsessed, Carla Correa, one of FiveThirtyEight’s editors.

Listen or download here. And see the full odds, plus some choice quotes, below.

(Note: Nate Silver swears three times in this podcast.)


“We were ahead of the Walker boomlet. Do we want to now call the Walker backlash? Is that coming?”
Micah Cohen (at 5:30)
“Well, you kind of have to shit or get off the pot if you’re him. Because some of this talent is getting soaked up fast, the decision could be made for him if he’s not careful.”
Nate Silver on Marco Rubio (at 7:00)


“I don’t think the vaccine comments will matter months and months from now. There will be something else we’ll be talking about.”
— Carla Correa on the controversy of the week (at 10:30)


“She’s got it. No one else. Warren, Biden, Gillibrand — I mean those people aren’t running. Ninety-one percent. It’s solid.”

Harry Enten on Hillary Clinton (at 16:15)


“Martin O’Malley is exciting as The English Patient, for God’s sakes.”

Harry Enten (at 21:45)

(This is part of the prelaunch experimentation for the FiveThirtyEight podcast. We’ll be posting audio of different kinds on SoundCloud and then launching the actual podcast this spring. Stay tuned! And let us know what you think by tweeting our podcast producer/host, @jodyavirgan, or emailing us.)

Jody Avirgan hosts and produces podcasts for FiveThirtyEight.