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Let’s Overreact To MLB Opening Weekend
FiveThirtyEight
 

The Hot Takedown crew gathers this week to discuss March Madness upsets and the first few MLB games. Over the weekend, Michigan State clinched a spot in the Final Four with a 1-point win over the pre-tournament favorite, Duke. Michigan State coach Tom Izzo lauded the top seed, calling the Blue Devils arguably “the best team in the country.” We look at whether Duke is worthy of the praise and what we can expect going into this weekend’s games. Also, Neil has a perfect bracket and we’ll never let it go.

Our second segment takes stock of MLB’s opening weekend, including which teams faltered and which are surging. With the season barely underway, what warrants concern and what’s an overreaction? Could the Braves’ lackluster start have been predicted? Andy Bunker of Atlanta’s 92.9 “The Game” sure seems to think so. Using our Elo model, we discuss whether other weekend surprises and uproars deserve our attention — or if it’s still too early to tell.

Finally, our Rabbit Hole of the Week takes a look at the youngest athlete in pro baseball. There’s a lot of, “He was born when?!” “Gen Z?!”

Here’s what we’re looking at this week:

  • We can’t take our eyes off the FiveThirtyEight March Madness interactive.
  • FiveThirtyEight’s MLB predictions are also demanding our attention.
  • Revisiting Travis Sawchik’s analysis of Christian Yelich feels particularly relevant after his opening weekend performance.

Sara Ziegler is the assistant sports editor at FiveThirtyEight.

Neil Paine is a senior sportswriter for FiveThirtyEight.

Geoff Foster is the sports editor for FiveThirtyEight.

Grace Lynch is Hot Takedown’s producer.

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