FiveThirtyEight
Geoff Foster

That’s a wrap! We will be here tomorrow for England vs. Croatia.

Tony Chow

Man of the Match goes to Samuel Umtiti.

Terrence Doyle

Also a case for Adil Rami’s mustache. A thing to behold.

Tony Chow

Agreed on Hazard. He was a joy to watch today.

Michael Caley

I feel like you have to credit France’s defense here, especially in midfield. Pogba probably did the most noteworthy defending, but Kante would be fine too. He had a great game constantly forcing Belgium to move the ball out wide where they didn’t want to play.

Geoff Foster

At least Kevin De Bruyne, can go back to his other job as the bully from “A Christmas Story.”

Michael Caley

Honestly there’s a case for Hazard. He was incredible.

Terrence Doyle

I don’t like seeing Lukaku sad.

Michael Caley

Belgium tried its hardest to open up the game, but in a true unstoppable force/immoveable object matchup, France kept it tight, defended extremely well and picked off a few good attacks to win deservedly.

Mike Goodman

I’d say Pogba, but you can’t go wrong with Lloris.

Terrence Doyle

Lloris or Pogba for me.

Tony Chow

Lloris, Man Of The Match?

Tony Chow

GAME! France wins 1-0 and moves onto the World Cup final!

Michael Caley

We’ve finally in the last five minutes gotten to see how brilliant Paul Pogba is on the ball around the penalty area.

Tony Chow

Tolisso with a quality chance to put France up 2 and sealing the game. Courtois palms it wide. Man, the goalkeeping so far…

Michael Caley

I think England’s set piece strategy is a good possible hack for France’s defense that is so difficult to break down in open play. England is better by a little bit and may have a better approach to beat France.

Terrence Doyle

Croatia. Very tired legs. And very tired old legs in the case of their best player (Modric).

Mike Goodman

England is better than Croatia, so I think you’d rather trust your defense to hold Croatia’s midfielders than trust your attack to break down England.

Tony Chow

One more minute left.

Tony Chow

I’m still rooting for extra time.

Mike Goodman

This game is getting pleasantly hectic in the dying minutes.

Tony Chow

OK, if you’re France, would you rather see Croatia or England?

Mike Goodman

Holy cow that ball from Pogba.

Terrence Doyle

Mbappe being a teen there. And I love it.

Geoff Foster

As we wrote last week, France was the best at wasting time while sitting on the lead.

Michael Caley

Mbappe “clumsily” knocking the ball away from De Bruyne before the throw-in there was elite stuff.

Tony Chow

Mbappe really showing some high quality time-wasting right now.

Michael Caley

One of the problems with Martinez’s lineups is that when you stuff as many attackers as you can into your starting 11, there isn’t much room for more attackers when you need to push for goals.

Mike Goodman

Six minutes seems like a lot of minutes.

Neil Paine

It would take another one of those stoppage-time miracles to keep Belgium’s run going. Right now, our model gives France a 96 percent chance of winning:

Geoff Foster

Argentina would have had five strikers on the field at the 60th minute.

Tony Chow

Into stoppage time we go. Six more minutes!!

Terrence Doyle

MICHY!!!

Tony Chow

Batshuayi about to come on for Belgium. Martinez really throwing all his attackers now, but why so late?

Geoff Foster

Michy time.

Michael Caley

LOL — yup, that’s one of the two “unsuccessful dribbles.”

Geoff Foster

Does it count as a completed dribble when you are brought down by uncalled foul outside the box?

Michael Caley

Eden Hazard has completed 9 of 11 attempted dribbles today. He’s been Plan A for Belgium all day to beat this deep French defense, and nearly every good attack has used his dribbling to move it forward.

Tony Chow

What a cross from De Bruyne. Unfortunately, nothing to show for it for Belgium.

Mike Goodman

Martinez has really gotten Hazard free today — it’s the one part of his tactics that worked.

Tony Chow

Eden Hazard draws a free kick for Belgium in a great position.

Michael Caley

Subbing on Nzonzi for Giroud means that Pogba is now playing higher up behind the strikers. We could actually see Pogba attacking in open play today.

Nate Silver

There’s still a chance I could have a productive work day if the game ends in regulation, so definitely rooting for extra time.

Tony Chow

Were the French fans booing Matuidi for asking to be subbed off? Tolisso is his replacement.

Michael Caley

Thankfully Matuidi was demanding a sub — he never should have been put back on.

Mike Goodman

That said, the sport is better than it was four to five years ago when players would routinely get knocked out and come back in the game.

Mike Goodman

FIFA’s concussion protocol is terrible … or at least it’s terrible in execution and seems to exist so that they can say they have a protocol.

Chadwick Matlin

What’s the feel about FIFA’s concussion protocol? For those of us who don’t watch a ton of soccer, is it as much of a discussion piece as the NFL’s?

Tony Chow

There’s five minutes left. I kinda want this game to go into extra time. Does anybody have access to that Buffalo Wild Wings button?

Neil Paine

Nate, if England-France does happen, it would be the 31st all-time matchup between the two countries, including two World Cup matches. Or maybe it’s the 54th time they’ve faced, if we count military history.


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