The Last Missing Puzzle Piece: Western Wisconsin
The final GOP delegate breakdown in Wisconsin looks almost certain to wind up at 36-6 or 39-3 for Cruz over Trump. But it all depends on what happens in the remaining precincts of the 3rd Congressional district, which takes in La Crosse and Eau Claire. Trump leads in most of the 3rd District’s counties, but Cruz leads in Eau Claire by 47 percent to 38 percent with only 18 of 84 precincts reporting.
Fun side note: The first time I ever met Nate, he visited my Cook Report office in DC while he was conducting research for “The Signal and the Noise” in 2010. We spent the afternoon chatting about analyzing congressional districts, and I invited him to sit in on a candidate meeting with a Republican running for Wisconsin’s 3rd District to get a sense of how we size up congressional hopefuls.
I introduced Nate to the candidate and his consultants as “our intern Nate” and hilariously, none of them had a clue who he really was. The candidate happened to own a minor league baseball team, the La Crosse Loggers. Towards the end of the discussion, Nate asked a few questions about the team’s up-and-coming player prospects. They still didn’t bat an eye – ha!! And, oh, the candidate, Dan Kapanke, lost.