Wisconsin Primary Elections: Live Coverage And Results

Coincidentally, after tonight both Trump and Sanders need 58 percent of remaining delegates to reach a majority (in Sanders’s case, this refers to pledged delegates only). But only Trump has a realistic path to a delegate majority, because the remaining Republican calendar is heavily winner-take-all. No such luck for Sanders on the Democratic side, where proportionality rules all.

Of course it’s dumb not to do your own polling, especially when you’re as rich as Trump claims to be, but I can’t really fault him for spending a lot of time in Wisconsin. Even if he loses the state, he could have potentially salvaged a few delegates from congressional districts by spending more time there; keeping the margins closer might also matter a bit for how the media frames the result. Still, Trump relies so much on the perception of being a “winner” that I wonder if his ego would allow him to concede a state. If he wins the Republican nomination, is he spending a bunch of time campaigning in New York and New Jersey, for instance?

Nate, this was interesting: Is there any reason to think Trump has been hurt by his campaign not doing its own polling?