Wisconsin Primary Elections: Live Coverage And Results

Of course it’s dumb not to do your own polling, especially when you’re as rich as Trump claims to be, but I can’t really fault him for spending a lot of time in Wisconsin. Even if he loses the state, he could have potentially salvaged a few delegates from congressional districts by spending more time there; keeping the margins closer might also matter a bit for how the media frames the result. Still, Trump relies so much on the perception of being a “winner” that I wonder if his ego would allow him to concede a state. If he wins the Republican nomination, is he spending a bunch of time campaigning in New York and New Jersey, for instance?

Nate, this was interesting: Is there any reason to think Trump has been hurt by his campaign not doing its own polling?

The good news for Sanders is that unless something funky happens, a double-digit victory looks likely for him. That would be meaningful — a possible sign that he’s picked up strength. The question is whether he can get to the 16-percentage-point margin we think he needs to be on pace to catch Clinton in the pledged-delegate count. That may be a tougher hill to climb.