FiveThirtyEight
Nate Silver

As a sign of Cruz’s potentially expanding base of support, he won 43 percent of the non-evangelical vote tonight in Wisconsin, according to exit polls, beating Trump (37 percent) and Kasich (17 percent).
Farai Chideya

Sanders is beginning to speak in Laramie, Wyoming, in front of his supporters. Laramie is where a gay 21-year-old university student, Matthew Shepard, was brutally murdered in 1998. Shepard’s death sparked a national conversation about anti-gay hate crimes, and also inspired a play based on interviews, The Laramie Project, which is still performed by students as well as professional groups. More broadly, Sanders’s visit to Laramie ties in with his strong pursuit of the college vote in the Saturday caucus.
Nate Silver

I’m not sure I buy this, but given the Democrats’ heavy advantage in general election polling, Sanders (at 9.6 percent) is almost as likely as Trump (11.4 percent) to become the next president, according to betting markets.

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