FiveThirtyEight
Clare Malone

Regarding some of the John Kasich chatter below: he’s been spending time in New York these past couple of days, in all likelihood sensing that Cruz was probably going to own Wisconsin. Kasich’s team no doubt sees New York as a place to woo moderates (the state votes on the 19th), and I’m thinking ahead to the Acela Corridor primaries coming up in the next couple of weeks — Delaware, Maryland, Connecticut, etc. — which could also be more interesting for Kasich than Wisconsin.
Nate Silver

A useful link (via Phil Kerpen): results by congressional district in Wisconsin.
Nate Silver

A large block of Milwaukee just reported, narrowing Clinton’s deficit with Sanders to 5 points, but The Upshot’s model expects Sanders’s lead to expand again as more of the state reports. As a benchmark, Sanders would need to beat Clinton in Wisconsin by something like 16 percentage points to make up significant ground in his pledged-delegate disadvantage with her.

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