A picture of an actual Wisconsin cheese plate on my messy Wisconsin desk.
Harry Enten
Almost everybody, including the Associated Press, has called the Republican primary for Cruz. The question still to be answered is how many congressional districts he will win. If he takes them all, he’ll sweep the state’s 42 delegates.
Nate Silver
I mostly agree with your point, Harry, but my recollection from previous polls is that Trump usually does better on the “most electable” question than he does overall. So this isn’t anything new; if anything, the spread is narrower than usual and suggests that those poor horse-race polls for him against Clinton are starting to sink in with a few voters.
