FiveThirtyEight
Farai Chideya

Sanders and Cruz are the projected winners in Wisconsin, according to NBC, with 53 percent of voters choosing Cruz in early exit polls. The two were expected to win, given a mix of cultural factors — what people call “Wisconsin nice” (i.e., not favorable to Trump brashness), educational attainment, strong student populations favoring Sanders, and religious affiliation favoring Cruz.
Harry Enten

Sanders continues to dominate among self-identified independent voters who choose to cast their ballots in the Democratic primary. He is winning 71 percent of them. Among self-identified Democrats, he’s winning only 50 percent of the vote.
Nate Silver

Since 24 of Wisconsin’s Republican delegates are awarded on a winner-take-all basis by Congressional district, the geographic split of the GOP vote matters quite a lot. The initial news from the exit polls is pretty good for Cruz, therefore, who leads in four out of five regions of the state. However, Trump narrowly leads Cruz 46-to-43 in Northwest Wisconsin, which means he should be competitive in the 7th and perhaps the 3rd Congressional Districts.

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