FiveThirtyEight
Harry Enten

Sanders continues to dominate among self-identified independent voters who choose to cast their ballots in the Democratic primary. He is winning 71 percent of them. Among self-identified Democrats, he’s winning only 50 percent of the vote.
Nate Silver

Since 24 of Wisconsin’s Republican delegates are awarded on a winner-take-all basis by Congressional district, the geographic split of the GOP vote matters quite a lot. The initial news from the exit polls is pretty good for Cruz, therefore, who leads in four out of five regions of the state. However, Trump narrowly leads Cruz 46-to-43 in Northwest Wisconsin, which means he should be competitive in the 7th and perhaps the 3rd Congressional Districts.
Clare Malone

Cruz seems to be doing pretty well tonight, and is winning across a lot of demographics — for instance, he is winning both white college graduates as well as whites with no high school degree, a group that often supports Trump. But exit polls are showing that Trump is winning among those voters who make less than $50,000, those who identify as independent, and those who define their ideology as “moderate” as opposed to “somewhat” or “very” conservative.

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