FiveThirtyEight
Sarah Frostenson

Let’s circle back to the question of the new vs. old GOP. Nathaniel’s earlier point about who will win Connecticut’s Senate Republican primary got me thinking about how we’ve seen this dynamic play out so far this cycle, particularly in governors’ races.

There have been a lot of mixed signals on this front, no? I’m thinking about Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp prevailing over Trump-backed former Sen. David Perdue in May, while in Arizona last week the Trump-backed Kari Lake defeated the more establishment GOP candidate, Karrin Taylor Robson. And tonight, of course, in Wisconsin we’ve got another proxy battle between former Lt. Gov. Rebecca Kleefisch and construction executive Tim Michels.

So how do we define the “new” GOP? And … how are they doing this cycle?


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