What Went Down In Elections In Minnesota, Wisconsin, Vermont And Connecticut

So I think there’s like a meme on Twitter about close Wisconsin elections coming down to the margin in Waukesha County. But for true Sconnie Politicos (I used to work at Wisconsin Public Radio), there is a trio of counties that really matter and they are the WOW counties: Waukesha, Ozaukee and Washington. Those three populous counties encircle Milwaukee, have lots of high-propensity voters and have traditionally been a source of conservative political activism in the state. Gov. Scott Walker is from the area. Those three counties have shifted left over the past decade, however, and I would be curious if the GOP primary electorate is actually shrinking there, as it grows in the more rural and post-industrial parts of the state. It’s a prime area for the type of voter who is ancestrally Republican, but allergic to Trump. As you can see in this map of the vote swing from 2016 to 2020, those counties form a big blue circle of leftward lurch.

That was certainly a close race for Omar! Much closer than her 2020 primary challenge.

Reports are surfacing that Don Samuels is conceding to Rep. Ilhan Omar in Minnesota’s 5th District. As of now, per ABC News, we’re still at 96 percent of the expected vote in and Omar maintains a narrow lead over Samuels — 51 to 48 percent. Assuming the race is projected in Omar’s favor soon, she should be in good standing come November given that her district has a partisan lean of D+57. Omar will likely face Cicely Davis this fall, who is ahead in her race currently, but the Republican primary hasn’t yet been projected, either.