FiveThirtyEight
Nathaniel Rakich

Republican Robin Vos is the longtime speaker of the Wisconsin state Assembly. He has proven his conservative bona fides by leading the charge for anti-union legislation in the state and other conservative priorities. But he believes (correctly) that it is impossible to decertify the 2020 election in the state, which Trump has demanded, and so Trump endorsed his primary challenger, Adam Steen. And, amazingly, it looks like Vos might actually be in trouble: Early returns have Steen leading 51 percent to 49 percent.

Zoha Qamar

With 37 percent of the expected vote now reporting, Leora Levy has maintained the same lead in the race for Connecticut’s U.S. Senate seat: 51 percent. We’re still waiting on votes to come in from parts of the greater Hartford area and Greenwich (the latter is Levy’s hometown).

Meredith Conroy

I was going to mention that too, Nathaniel. According to Trump, Kleefisch and Michels present a clear case of an insider (Kleefisch) versus an outsider (Michels). As I wrote earlier tonight, at a rally for Michels just last week, Trump said Kleefisch is “the handpicked candidate of the failed establishment, the RINOs and the Washington swamp.” “Outsiders” tend to do better among Republicans, but as Nate wrote for the site, nominating inexperienced candidates could backfire.


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