FiveThirtyEight
Geoff Foster

Looney looks really hobbled as they show GSW heading back to the locker room.

Tony Chow

HOF-er DB giving us an update on KD. Says its “quite quiet” back in the locker room.

Nate Silver

Very big close to the quarter for a Golden State team that, frankly, could REALLY use a cushion entering the second half.

Tony Chow

Halftime!

Neil Paine

Patrick McCaw really passed up a wide-open chance to make his former team pay (and rightly so, it led to a Siakam bucket).

Sara Ziegler

Siakam on fire since being called out by Tony.

Tony Chow

Patrick McCaw sighting!

Geoff Foster

Raptors now 2 of 10 from 3-point range. No one but Gasol has hit one.

Nate Silver

Warriors lucky to be up 3 given how many possessions they’ve given away.

Neil Paine

Siakam read your comment!

Sara Ziegler

Ha — there you go, Tony.

Tony Chow

Siakam has been quiet?

Nate Silver

Raptors missing a lot of momentum-changing shots that they were hitting reliably earlier in the series.

Nate Silver

No word as far as I can tell yet, Tony. It’s hard to imagine the Warriors taking very many chances with him, though.

Tony Chow

Have we had any word on KD’s injury yet? Did I miss something?

Geoff Foster

Let me see if anyone has an opinion on the Toronto fans’ injury cheering. (checks Twitter) Yes, everyone does.

Tony Chow

I do, and they definitely have.

Neil Paine

It feels like the Raptors have reclaimed the momentum (if you believe in that kind of thing).

Tony Chow

Gasol knocks down a three and cuts the Warriors lead to 6.

Sara Ziegler

Ooof, Cousins misses both free throws, than a made three for Gasol.

Tony Chow

I love watching Curry, but he has a number of these silly turnovers EVERY GAME.

Nate Silver

OK, Neil, upgrading Cousins to an 83 2K rating. But he’s not going to help them on defense, and if Green is in foul trouble, he might have to play a lot of it.

Neil Paine

And another bizarre lapse for the Warriors with a backcourt violation.

Nate Silver

Draymond also one tech away from a one-game suspension.

Geoff Foster

The last two on Draymond were soft.

Tony Chow

In Draymond’s defense, that was soft.

Chris Herring

I know that edge makes him who he is, but man.

Neil Paine

Draymond got T-ed up.

Chris Herring

Draymond’s composure is so bad.

Tony Chow

Put-back layup on one end, block on Kawhi on the other.

Neil Paine

And how about the effort from Boogie after KD was hurt??

Neil Paine

Kawhi averaged 12 free-throw attempts per game in the series before Game 5. He has six tonight after drawing that foul.

Nate Silver

Not a fantastic game for Kawhi yet, but he’s moving around better than he has in a while.

Nate Silver

Couple of great defensive plays by the Raptors, overcoming what had been a pretty dreary stretch in which they looked a little deflated, but it doesn’t help much after a 4-point play for Curry.

Tony Chow

That’s the second time he’s caught FVV on a three.

Neil Paine

And Curry has another 4-point play chance.

Tony Chow

Lowry blocks Cousin’s 3-point attempt. (Yes, you read that correctly.)

Neil Paine

Sara, that is a GREAT question. Often it seems like it’s just whichever team is on the most recent run, but things equalize more often than not.

Sara Ziegler

Do big leads actually exist in the NBA?

Chris Herring

Credit to the Warriors for building the lead after what happened with Durant.

Chris Herring

This is a big lead.

Sara Ziegler

Interesting. ESPN’s live win probabilities have the Warriors at 73 percent.

Nate Silver

Live betting markets have the Warriors as only ~62 percent to win despite an 11-point lead. Pretty clearly pricing in a big impact from KD’s re-injury.

Tony Chow

With the Warriors being so cryptic about the KD injury, it’s hard to say if KD really came back too soon or if it was just an unfortunate thing that happened on the court. With that said, I think KD came back too soon.

Nate Silver

A double-digit lead for the Warriors despite it all.

Sara Ziegler

Ummmm, Cousins? 👀

Tony Chow

Boogie with the three!

Neil Paine

(And there’s no guarantee that happens. Warriors are up 8 now.)

Neil Paine

But if the Raps do end up using this to win, it won’t do anything for the perception that the title was against a lessened Warriors team, and that they were losing in the moments when the “real” Warriors were intact.

Sara Ziegler

I get that too, Nate. It’s hard to be mature in the moment.


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