FiveThirtyEight
Nate Silver

I don’t know how the emotional factors work here, but I think I take Toronto at that price. I’m not sure they weren’t the better team in the first half once you account for shooting luck. Plus, KD (presumably) out, Looney maybe hurt, Green out of sorts, home court. To me, that’s worth slightly more than 6 points.

Geoff Foster

The worst part of that half was either the Durant injury or the “Men in Black”/NBA crossover ad. Also a toss-up.

Nate Silver

Warriors are ~53 percent to win in live betting markets. So, basically a toss-up.


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