FiveThirtyEight
Galen Druke

I don’t think Harris is 50 percent likely to become president. I wouldn’t go anywhere near 50 percent until she were to actually win the nomination. She isn’t actually even leading in early 2024 polling at this point.

Nathaniel Rakich

No way, Nate. I don’t think anyone can be considered a 50 percent shot to become president until they’ve actually won a major-party nomination.

Maggie Koerth

Fracking keeps coming up in this debate and it’s getting framed a lot as a thing that, of course, everyone MUST support or they don’t support the will of the American people. But there are several polls out there suggesting that American opinion on fracking, even in fracking heavy states, is not particularly favorable.


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