FiveThirtyEight
Laura Bronner

Per our survey with Ipsos, the economy was the top issue for respondents who are more likely to vote for Trump than Biden: 40 percent selected it, compared to only 9 percent of Biden supporters. COVID-19 is named much less frequently by Trump supporters: Just 17 percent said it was the most important issue facing the country. Violent crime follows in third place, and the Supreme Court is fourth, with 8 percent.

Voters behind Trump care most about the economy

Share of respondents who named each issue as the top one facing the U.S., among those who were more likely to vote for Trump than Biden, according to a FiveThirtyEight/Ipsos poll

issue share of trump supporters
The economy 40.0%
COVID-19 16.8
Violent crime 8.4
The Supreme Court 7.6
Abortion 6.2
Health care 6.0
Immigration 3.8
Other 2.3
Gun policy 2.2
Education 1.6
Racial inequality 1.3
Climate change 0.9
Economic inequality 0.7

Respondents were asked to rate how likely they were to vote for each candidate on a scale of 0-10. Respondents were deemed more likely to vote for whichever candidate they gave a higher score. Respondents who gave both candidates the same score are not included.

Data comes from polling done by Ipsos for FiveThirtyEight, using Ipsos’s KnowledgePanel, a probability-based online panel that is recruited to be representative of the U.S. population. The poll was conducted Sept. 30 – Oct. 6 among a general population sample of adults, with 2,994 respondents and a margin of error of +/- 2.0 percentage points.

Fivey Fox

The debate is turning to the economy. In a Quinnipiac University poll conducted in mid-September, 24 percent of likely voters said the economy was the most important issue in deciding their vote. Law and order was the second-most-common response at 17 percent, followed by the coronavirus and racial inequality tied at 13 percent, health care and the Supreme Court tied at 8 percent, climate change at 6 percent, and immigration at 4 percent.

Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux

The topic turns to the economy. The last jobs report before the election was overshadowed last Friday by the news of Trump’s COVID-19 diagnosis. But it might not have had much of a political impact anyway — because it showed that the economy is continuing to recover (albeit slowly) but levels of unemployment are still high, which means that partisans can basically look at it and see what they want to see.


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