I don’t think I’m any more skeptical than Harry about the possibility of Christie having a “surge” at some point, or potentially becoming a factor in New Hampshire. He’s certainly having a very good night. But I’m skeptical about how sustainable it might be. Christie has lots of problems, as you’ve pointed out yourself, Harry. In fact, they’re not so different from Jeb Bush’s problems; Christie’s track record is fairly moderate, but he also has middling ratings among independent voters. And if he’s a considerably more dynamic personality than Bush, he’s also seen as a loose cannon and not as much of a party guy. I could buy an argument that Christie is as likely to win the nomination as Bush, but that’s sort of damning with faint praise.
