FiveThirtyEight
Nathaniel Rakich

Breaking: The Supreme Court will not block a legal settlement reached by the North Carolina State Board of Elections that extended the deadline for receiving absentee ballots from Nov. 6 to Nov. 12.

The court similarly declined to roll back Pennsylvania’s absentee-ballot deadline earlier today. This leaves just one major unresolved election-related court case we’re tracking: A Republican challenge to (you guessed it) the extended absentee-ballot deadline in Minnesota.

Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux

Supreme Court Rejects Another Attempt to Block Pennsylvania’s Extended Ballot Deadline -- At Least, For Now

On Wednesday afternoon, the Supreme Court rejected a second attempt by Pennsylvania Republicans to stop late-arriving ballots from being counted up to three days after Election Day. This means that the deadline for those ballots is almost certainly safe through Nov. 3. But what happens after that is still a bit up in the air. That’s because in a statement attached to the order, three of the conservative justices — Samuel Alito joined by Clarence Thomas and Neil Gorsuch — wrote that while they thought there was a “strong likelihood” that the Pennsylvania Supreme Court’s decision to extend the deadline violates the U.S. Constitution, there wasn’t time to decide the issue before the election. (To be clear, this was not a formal dissent, and the conservatives seem to agree with the decision to not expedite the case. Justice Amy Coney Barrett, Trump’s most recent nominee, also didn’t participate in the decision-making because she joined the court so recently.)

But Alito also explicitly noted that ballots arriving after 8 p.m. Eastern on Election Day will be segregated so the issue can still be revisited if necessary after the election. That suggests that some of the conservative justices may be contemplating a post-election scenario where they might reconsider Pennsylvania Republicans’ request to not count these ballots.

Maya Sweedler

Reader Question: What Happens If A Voter Dies?

Marianna Williams from Dallas, Texas: If you vote early or by mail, but then die before the election, is your vote still counted?

This is a dark (but totally valid) question that pops up in arcane corners of election law from time to time. And like so many of the other great questions we’ve been getting from readers, the answer is … it depends.

According to a recent tally from the National Conference of State Legislatures, at least 12 states direct election officials to count absentee ballots cast by eligible voters who die between when they vote and Election Day. Florida, for example, explicitly says that as long as a valid ballot (meaning the voter’s signature is verified) is postmarked or received by election officials before the voter’s death, the ballot will count. Another 15 states expressly prohibit officials from counting these ballots, and the remainder don’t specifically address it. In many of those states, such as North Carolina, an absentee ballot can be challenged on the grounds that the person who cast it died before Election Day.


I should note that the existence or inclusion of these ballots is not indicative of voter fraud. First of all, there is no evidence of widespread fraud in which dead people cast ballots. Secondly, the number of ballots potentially affected — even during a time when hundreds of Americans are dying of the coronavirus each day — is relatively small. In 2016, Colorado, one of the 15 states which doesn’t allow these ballots, actually counted between 15 and 20 ballots cast by voters who died after mailing in their ballot but before Election Day. (This was in a state where more than 2.7 million early or absentee votes were cast in 2016.)


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