FiveThirtyEight
Meredith Conroy

Progressives have had a pretty good night in Texas. Casar, who is endorsed by the Sunrise Movement, Indivisible, Sen. Bernie Sanders, Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Our Revolution and Justice Dems, won his open primary in Texas’s 35th District. In Texas’s 30th District, Crockett, who is endorsed by Our Revolution, is leading in that open primary. And as noted throughout the night, Cisneros is leading in Texas’s 28th District in a close race against incumbent Cuellar that might go to a runoff. And in Texas’s 16th, incumbent Rep. Veronica Escobar, who is endorsed by the Progressive Change Campaign Committee, beat back her lone challenger.

How progressives are doing this election

House and governor candidates endorsed by Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Indivisible, Justice Democrats, Our Revolution, the Progressive Change Campaign Committee, Sen. Bernie Sanders or the Sunrise Movement running in Texas’s Democratic primaries, as of 12:18 a.m. Eastern

Candidate Office % Reporting Vote Share Status
Veronica Escobar* TX-16 65% 88.0% ✓ Won
Jessica Cisneros TX-28 80 49.0 Leading
Jasmine Crockett TX-30 64 46.9 Leading
Greg Casar TX-35 84 62.0 ✓ Won

*Incumbent.

Sources: Indivisible, Justice Democrats, Our Revolution, PCCC, the Sunrise Movement, Twitter, news reports, Associated Press

As we wrote in 2020, thanks to an increasingly powerful progressive campaign apparatus, the left wing of the Democratic Party is now an established player in the party’s primaries, and in 2022 that apparatus is back at it. This year, as in the last two election cycles, FiveThirtyEight will once again be tracking the success of candidates endorsed by progressive groups and progressive leaders to monitor the movement’s influence within the party, so we’ll see you at the next primary.


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