FiveThirtyEight
Geoffrey Skelley

A runoff in the Democratic primary for Texas’s 28th District remains a distinct possibility. With 80 percent of the vote in, per the New York Times, Rep. Henry Cuellar now trails challenger Jessica Cisneros by 2.6 points, 46.4 percent to 49.0 percent. But third wheel Tannya Benavides has 4.6 percent, so it’s possible neither Cisneros nor Cuellar will clear the majority hurdle in the end. Much of the outstanding vote appears to be from areas where Cuellar has run well, so he may be more likely to gain ground at this point to force a runoff in May.


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