FiveThirtyEight
Geoffrey Skelley

For all the action in the GOP primary for attorney general — incumbent Ken Paxton will likely advance to a runoff, but it’s unclear against whom — the Democratic race may also be headed toward a runoff. There, former ACLU attorney Rochelle Garza leads with 42 percent, while former Galveston Mayor Joe Jaworski has a slight edge over attorney Lee Merritt for the second spot, 21 percent to 18 percent. Garza originally was running in the 34th District, but she dropped out when Rep. Vicente Gonzalez decided to run there instead of in the successor seat to his current district, the 15th. Now she could find herself running statewide against Paxton (if they both advance from likely runoffs), which could be Democrats’ best (maybe only) shot at competing for a statewide office in November.


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