FiveThirtyEight
Alex Samuels

That’s a great question, Nathaniel … but it’s honestly hard to tell? Cuellar so far has campaigned as a moderate with more experience, but Cisneros has the backing of congressional progressives, like New York Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Sen. Bernie Sanders. If Cisneros sticks to focusing her campaign on local issues impacting the district versus national ones that typically animate the progressive base (but not necessarily Hispanic voters), she could stand a chance of winning in November?


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