FiveThirtyEight

With Gonzales being declared the winner of his primary, according to the Associated Press, a majority of Republican incumbents who voted to certify the 2020 election results — Gonzales and Reps. Chip Roy and Michael McCaul, who ran uncontested — have now won their primaries. The other two, Reps. Dan Crenshaw and Van Taylor, are running at 76 and 51 percent of the vote respectively, with about 70 percent of results in.

Kaleigh Rogers

Rep. Tony Gonzalez is likely getting the nomination in the Texas’s 23rd Congressional District (he currently has 78.7 percent of the vote, according to the New York Times, and the Associated Press has called the race for him). But Big Lie proponent and actual insurrection participant Alma Arredondo-Lynch had a not-insignificant showing: She currently has 14.8 percent of the vote, according to the Times.

Now let’s check in on Trump’s chosen candidates. So far, all of them have either won their race or are leading, though a good share — 7 out of 19 — ran unopposed. If this trend continues, all of Trump’s endorsees will win by a large enough margin to avoid a primary runoff, though it’s hard to say whether Trump’s endorsement was decisive, or if they would have gotten such a large share of the vote anyway.

How Trump’s endorsees are doing tonight

House and governor candidates endorsed by former President Donald Trump and their results in Texas’s
Republican primaries, as of 11 p.m. Eastern

Candidate Office % Reporting Vote Share Status
Pat Fallon* TX-04 60% 60% Leading
Lance Gooden* TX-05 100 ✓ Won
Jake Ellzey* TX-06 48 71 ✓ Won
Michael McCaul* TX-10 100 ✓ Won
August Pfluger* TX-11 100 ✓ Won
Kay Granger* TX-12 57 77 ✓ Won
Ronny Jackson* TX-13 100 ✓ Won
Randy Weber* TX-14 75 89 ✓ Won
Monica De La Cruz TX-15 72 57 Leading
Jodey Arrington* TX-19 100 ✓ Won
Troy Nehls TX-22 69 87 ✓ Won
Beth Van Duyne* TX-24 58 87 ✓ Won
Roger Williams* TX-25 100 ✓ Won
Michael C. Burgess* TX-26 8 68 Leading
Michael Cloud* TX-27 73 73 Leading
John Carter* TX-31 57 69 Leading
Brian Babin* TX-36 100 ✓ Won
Wesley Hunt TX-38 57 56 Leading
Greg Abbott* TX Gov. 68 68 ✓ Won

*Incumbent.

Sources: DonaldJTrump.com, news reports, The New York Times


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