With just shy of 2,000 simulations remaining after Biden’s wins in Oklahoma and Tennessee, our model gives Biden a 37 percent chance of winning a majority of pledged delegates, just 6 points higher than where he started tonight.


With just shy of 2,000 simulations remaining after Biden’s wins in Oklahoma and Tennessee, our model gives Biden a 37 percent chance of winning a majority of pledged delegates, just 6 points higher than where he started tonight.