In the current landscape of results, Texas is increasingly crucial for both Biden and Sanders. According to our Super Tuesday simulator, we project that a Biden win in Texas would put him within striking distance of a pledged delegate majority at the time of the convention, while pushing Sanders’ chances of winning a majority down to just 2.5 percent. Meanwhile, a Sanders win in Texas would basically mean neither Biden nor Sanders are likely to win a majority (neither cracks a 15 percent chance), with “no majority” being the big winner in that scenario.
