What The Delegate Race Looks Like At The District Level In Massachusetts
Also at 8 p.m. Eastern, polls will close in Massachusetts, where Sanders has a 1 in 2 (51 percent) chance to win in our forecast; Warren, who represents the state, has a 1 in 4 (25 percent) chance. Per the average model run, Sanders is expected to get 29 percent of the vote, Warren 25 percent, Biden 24 percent and Bloomberg 19 percent. But 59 pledged delegates will also be decided based on the results on the congressional-district level, so here’s our forecast for each district.
Every candidate could get delegates across Massachusetts
Average forecasted vote share for the top four Democratic presidential candidates in Massachusetts congressional districts, according to the FiveThirtyEight model as of 9:30 a.m. on March 3
| District | Sanders | Warren | Biden | Bloomberg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MA-01 | 29% | 23% | 25% | 20% |
| MA-02 | 30 | 25 | 23 | 19 |
| MA-03 | 29 | 25 | 24 | 18 |
| MA-04 | 30 | 27 | 22 | 17 |
| MA-05 | 29 | 28 | 23 | 18 |
| MA-06 | 30 | 26 | 22 | 18 |
| MA-07 | 26 | 22 | 29 | 20 |
| MA-08 | 29 | 26 | 24 | 18 |
| MA-09 | 29 | 25 | 24 | 19 |
| State | 29 | 25 | 24 | 19 |